Monday, August 3, 2009

Welcome to the Fantasy Football Preview, 2009 Style

Here's the deal. We're starting with rankings, then we're going to dissect and update the rankings, then bitch some more. And you're going to be loving it. We feel this is the most constructive way to get a feel for how your fantasy draft is going to shake out this year. Kill?

Here's the deal with rankings over here. The positional rankings are our best shot at predicting who (barring any injuries, yeah right) will score the most fantasy points at each position. The tiers in the positional rankings represent a spot where we feel that there is a large gap between one player and the next lowest player on the list. Players on the same tier are generally expected to perform at a similar level. These types of rankings are helpful when you are targeting specific positions in your drafts, not just necessarily the best player available.

Overall rankings ARE NOT necessarily the order we think each player will finish the season in overall in fantasy points. Overall rankings are use to predict DRAFT POSITION. For instance, in many leagues QB's are the highest scoring positions, but you're probably not taking Drew Brees with the 1st pick even though you think he'll end up being the highest scoring player. Sounds real freakin smart right? AP (or Tuner, or whoever, well not really whoever but we're not arguing over the top couple RB's right now) will have more trade value and perceived value than Brees. Plus you maybe able to get him with your second pick depending how things shake out. You have to consider that thee is expected to be a large difference between AP and the number 7 RB. In most leagues there will be much less of a difference between the number 1 QB and the number 7 QB. Unless Tom Brady goes all Tom Brady on us. Again. The overall rankings are a draft tool not a Draft Bible.

These rankings are meant to reflect a 10 team (non-PPR, non-keeper) league that starts 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 RB/WR Flex, 1 TE, 1 D/ST, 1 K with a six man bench. 6 points for a rushing/receiving TD, 4 points per passing TD, 1 point every 10 rushing/receiving yards, 1 point for ever 20 passing yards.

We're not doing D/ST or K rankings yet because it's pretty pointless. After the third pre-season game we will do D/ST and K tiers but don't hold your breath and don't waste a draft pick before the last 2 rounds on a D/ST or a K unless your scoring settings warrant it. And most don't. Don't be that guy.

Please feel free to bitch, nitpick, hate, all that good stuff on our rankings. That's how we get a feel for what people are thinking. But keep in mind, no matter how good of an arguement you make (or how good he was in Madden) we're not putting Vick in the top tier of QB's, or moving up that undrafted player you saw score 3 TD's at training camp last week.

One last note, you should not be drafting money leagues yet. The weekend of the 3rd week of the pre-season is the earliest I would recommend drafting any league that costs you dough. Shit, last year our draft happened about 30 minutes after the Cardinals announced Kurt Warner would be the starting QB. I grabbed him in round 10 (14 team league) and he ended up being a top-5 overall player for the season. So get as much info as you can. You might not really care who ends up the starting QB in San Fran but what if he blows up? Stranger shit has, and will continue to happen.

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